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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.73+6.85vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+3.39vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+2.02vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41+3.77vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+3.03vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.60+1.12vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.90-1.04vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.79+2.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+4.44vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.63-2.85vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.79-0.55vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.37-0.46vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.36-1.66vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-4.55vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.47-10.80vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.14-3.54vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.64-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.39Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.02Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.38Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.12College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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11.13Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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14.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.15Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.45Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.54Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.34Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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10.45St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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5.2Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.46University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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15.34University of Michigan-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 13.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 19.8% | 23.8% |
| Marina Conde | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
| Lina Carper | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 13.3% |
| Callie Davis | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.