← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.43+4.43vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.56+3.02vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.47+2.25vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University0.37+8.49vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.37+0.47vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.73+1.71vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+1.95vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+2.43vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.60-0.88vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.36+2.81vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University1.63-2.86vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.14+1.61vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania1.41-4.31vs Predicted
-
14Yale University1.90-7.12vs Predicted
-
15Clemson University0.79-3.90vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University0.79-4.75vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.66vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan-0.64-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.43Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.02Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
-
5.25Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
-
12.49Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
-
5.47Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
7.71Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
-
8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
10.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
8.12College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
-
12.81Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
8.14Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
-
13.61University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
8.69University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
6.88Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
-
11.1Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
-
11.25Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
-
14.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
-
15.32University of Michigan-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Lina Carper | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.1% |
| Marina Conde | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Foley | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 21.6% |
| Callie Davis | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.