Race 8A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Steel 18.4% 20.0% 16.4% 14.7% 11.4% 10.5% 4.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Gordon Wolcott 28.9% 22.6% 19.8% 12.8% 8.2% 4.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 8.3% 8.7% 9.9% 9.8% 14.7% 17.0% 15.5% 10.7% 4.8% 0.6%
Arielle DeLisser 14.6% 17.1% 17.3% 15.9% 14.9% 9.3% 7.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Adam Keally 10.6% 10.3% 12.7% 14.4% 14.7% 14.9% 11.5% 7.1% 2.8% 1.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 10.2% 11.0% 11.7% 14.4% 14.8% 13.7% 12.5% 7.4% 3.2% 1.1%
Margaret McMullen 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 3.0% 3.6% 4.5% 8.7% 16.8% 25.8% 33.4%
Nick Balta 4.2% 4.8% 5.9% 7.7% 9.2% 12.1% 16.4% 20.3% 13.7% 5.7%
Harmen Rockler 1.6% 0.8% 1.4% 3.2% 2.7% 5.3% 7.2% 13.2% 24.0% 40.6%
Clifton Kartner 2.0% 3.4% 3.2% 4.1% 5.8% 8.4% 13.8% 18.1% 24.0% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.