← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University0.65+2.37vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University0.48+1.80vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-1.14+4.77vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University0.96-0.68vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-1.71+4.26vs Predicted
-
6Hope College-0.71+0.68vs Predicted
-
7Indiana University0.29-2.15vs Predicted
-
8Northern Michigan University-1.46+0.81vs Predicted
-
9Purdue University-0.57-2.60vs Predicted
-
10Grand Valley State University-0.85-3.18vs Predicted
-
11Western Michigan University-1.73-1.87vs Predicted
-
12Saint Mary's College-2.41-1.10vs Predicted
-
13Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-0.22vs Predicted
-
14University of Iowa-2.51-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.37Ohio State University0.6521.2%1st Place
-
3.8Michigan State University0.4818.2%1st Place
-
7.77University of Michigan-1.143.6%1st Place
-
3.32Michigan Technological University0.9621.7%1st Place
-
9.26University of Michigan-1.712.2%1st Place
-
6.68Hope College-0.715.7%1st Place
-
4.85Indiana University0.2911.0%1st Place
-
8.81Northern Michigan University-1.462.1%1st Place
-
6.4Purdue University-0.575.7%1st Place
-
6.82Grand Valley State University-0.854.8%1st Place
-
9.13Western Michigan University-1.731.6%1st Place
-
10.9Saint Mary's College-2.411.1%1st Place
-
12.78Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.4%1st Place
-
11.11University of Iowa-2.510.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 21.2% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 18.2% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Michels | 21.7% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Jack Bergman | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Gavin Holmes | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 23.1% | 14.6% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 59.4% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 26.8% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.