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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+6.37vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.37+11.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+7.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.56+0.92vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.31vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37-0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.64+8.53vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.47-2.84vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.54+3.20vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.63-1.71vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.79+0.37vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.70vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.73-5.36vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.60-6.02vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.36-2.25vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.08-5.69vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-7.76vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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13.09Christopher Newport University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.82St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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4.92Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.31Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.48Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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15.53University of Michigan-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.16Stanford University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Rhode Island0.540.0%1st Place
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8.29Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.37Clemson University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.98College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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12.75Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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10.31Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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14.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 8.7% |
| Lina Carper | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Callie Davis | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 44.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| Marina Conde | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.9% |
| Agija Elerte | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.