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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.37+5.08vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.99vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+4.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+1.21vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+4.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.29vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-2.28vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.99+3.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76+1.94vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-0.69vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+2.48vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.06-5.57vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.26-3.57vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-5.70vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.86-4.28vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.28-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.21Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.42Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.72Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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6.7Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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14.48Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.3Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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13.51North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Green | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 19.1% | 39.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.