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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.99+9.94vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+7.46vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.37+3.20vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.51+5.42vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+0.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.28vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-0.45vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03-0.63vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-4.09vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76+1.97vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.78vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.28+1.39vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+1.49vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-6.46vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.86-3.41vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.26-5.71vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.94Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.46Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.2Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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5.13Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.97University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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13.39North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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14.49Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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10.29George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Green | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 19.6% | 22.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 42.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 7.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.