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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+3.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+4.30vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.37+2.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+4.97vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+4.86vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.99vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.86+1.58vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.99+0.20vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-6.76vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-0.05+1.21vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-4.32vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-5.76vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.26-5.72vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.23Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.58Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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11.2Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.24Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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14.21North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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10.28George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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14.45Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 16.7% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 7.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 6.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 5.9% |
| Bridget Green | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 33.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 19.8% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.