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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+4.44vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.37+3.22vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.86+7.53vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+2.23vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.69-0.68vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.06vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26+2.00vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-1.49vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28+0.09vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44-1.36vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.99-0.84vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-3.63vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.76-1.95vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-0.05-0.87vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.60vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.82-12.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.22Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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7.23Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.32Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.0George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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9.64Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.16Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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14.13North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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14.4Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.89Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 7.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 8.9% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 32.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 35.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.