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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+1.74vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.46+2.72vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+0.80vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.48vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.26+0.02vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.58+0.40vs Predicted
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7Queen's University1.03+0.56vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.47-3.37vs Predicted
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9Colgate University0.58-0.80vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Virginia3.540.3%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.460.1%1st Place
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3.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.2%1st Place
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3.52SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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5.02SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.4Cornell University1.580.1%1st Place
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7.56Queen's University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.63Fordham University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.2Colgate University0.580.0%1st Place
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8.41Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 30.4% | 23.4% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Bailey IV | 10.3% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 15.1% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 16.4% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Lubliner | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Nick Balta | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 6.2% |
| Clifton Kartner | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 21.3% | 23.5% | 17.8% |
| Adam Keally | 8.8% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Margaret McMullen | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 27.5% | 32.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 22.6% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.