← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Gordon Wolcott 30.4% 23.4% 18.1% 11.5% 8.3% 4.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2%
Arthur Bailey IV 10.3% 9.0% 12.4% 14.2% 15.6% 13.7% 13.0% 8.2% 3.4% 0.2%
Arielle DeLisser 15.1% 16.5% 16.2% 16.7% 13.1% 11.2% 7.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 16.4% 19.8% 17.4% 16.7% 12.4% 10.2% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Scott Lubliner 9.1% 8.8% 9.7% 11.7% 15.2% 16.2% 14.7% 9.7% 3.2% 1.7%
Nick Balta 5.4% 4.7% 5.9% 5.7% 8.7% 12.1% 18.9% 17.4% 15.0% 6.2%
Clifton Kartner 1.9% 2.0% 3.2% 4.3% 5.0% 8.7% 12.3% 21.3% 23.5% 17.8%
Adam Keally 8.8% 12.9% 13.1% 13.5% 15.0% 13.2% 11.2% 8.7% 3.0% 0.6%
Margaret McMullen 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 4.1% 5.3% 8.3% 15.2% 27.5% 32.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 3.1% 2.6% 4.7% 8.0% 13.3% 22.6% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.