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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.65+2.46vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.29+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.14+4.82vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.96-0.68vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.85+1.79vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.46+2.72vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-2.41+3.96vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.48-4.16vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.57-2.73vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.71-3.28vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.71-1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-2.51-0.97vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University-1.73-3.87vs Predicted
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14Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Ohio State University0.6521.7%1st Place
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4.85Indiana University0.2910.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Michigan-1.143.8%1st Place
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3.32Michigan Technological University0.9621.9%1st Place
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6.79Grand Valley State University-0.855.4%1st Place
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8.72Northern Michigan University-1.462.8%1st Place
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10.96Saint Mary's College-2.411.1%1st Place
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3.84Michigan State University0.4817.4%1st Place
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6.27Purdue University-0.575.9%1st Place
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6.72Hope College-0.714.7%1st Place
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9.34University of Michigan-1.712.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Iowa-2.511.0%1st Place
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9.13Western Michigan University-1.731.9%1st Place
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12.74Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 21.7% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 21.9% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 24.0% | 15.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 17.4% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Bergman | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Maggie Lennon | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 24.9% | 17.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.