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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+6.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.97vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.37+3.16vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+6.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+5.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+3.74vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.28+6.37vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-1.57vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.69-3.65vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-5.29vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.75vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-2.72vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.86-1.25vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-6.45vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.76-3.08vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.99-4.76vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.16Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.37North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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6.43Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.35Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.71Boston College2.820.2%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.28Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Wisconsin0.860.0%1st Place
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7.55Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.92University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.24Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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14.5Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Sabrina Starck | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 20.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 10.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 17.3% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.