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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.74vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+5.80vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.19+5.36vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.52+6.73vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.38-0.40vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.77+0.51vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.34-2.21vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-0.86vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.19+3.64vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.10+1.96vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-2.81vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.50-4.67vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.01-7.39vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.43-4.21vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-2.74vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.57-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.73Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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4.6Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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6.51Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.79Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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7.14Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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12.64North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.96Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.61Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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13.26Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Ava Farley | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 7.8% |
| Ava Anderson | 15.4% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 16.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Annika Milstien | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 23.6% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 15.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McNamara | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 33.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.