← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.38+3.42vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont0.57+8.20vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.52+4.14vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.22+4.30vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.34-0.40vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.29vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.01-1.34vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy0.52+2.36vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.17vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University-0.19+2.63vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-4.28vs Predicted
-
13Boston College1.77-6.62vs Predicted
-
14Boston University-0.38-0.97vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin-0.10-2.72vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University0.10-4.10vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University1.50-9.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.42Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
-
10.2University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
-
7.14Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
-
8.3George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
4.6Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
-
8.29U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
5.66Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
-
10.36Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
-
5.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
12.63North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
-
6.38Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
-
13.03Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
-
12.28University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
-
11.9Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
-
7.24Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 16.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 16.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Annika Milstien | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 21.7% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 30.8% |
| Penelope Whiteside | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 19.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 14.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.