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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+5.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.01+2.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.19+4.61vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.34-0.32vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.77+0.49vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.38-2.35vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-0.85vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.18vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22-1.69vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.43-0.18vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.10-0.13vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.52-3.42vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.57-4.64vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-0.19-3.20vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.63Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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4.68Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.65Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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7.15Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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11.87Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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10.58Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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12.8North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.26Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 12.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 13.6% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 16.6% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 18.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 21.3% | 24.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.