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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.99vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+5.45vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+1.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.19+4.82vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+0.76vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.52+5.37vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.19+6.32vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22+0.48vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.67vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.77-3.45vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.84-0.94vs Predicted
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12Fordham University-0.08+1.08vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.38-8.19vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.43-2.43vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-7.42vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.57-4.99vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.83Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.37Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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13.32North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.48George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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6.55Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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10.06Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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13.08Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.81Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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11.57University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.58Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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13.96Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 14.5% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% |
| Annika Milstien | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 22.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 20.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 15.4% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 6.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.