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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+3.69vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.38+2.61vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+4.57vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.77+2.67vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.03vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.50+1.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.77vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.01-2.24vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.19+4.54vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.57+0.90vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.76vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22-3.42vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.79vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.84-3.85vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.43-3.58vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-2.05vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.08-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Cornell University2.340.2%1st Place
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4.61Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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7.57Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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8.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.1%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.54North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.58George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.21Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College0.840.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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13.95Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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13.14Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 16.7% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ava Farley | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 24.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 29.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.