Race 10A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Steel 20.3% 17.9% 17.0% 13.3% 12.4% 9.0% 6.1% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Arielle DeLisser 15.1% 17.8% 16.8% 13.2% 14.0% 11.6% 6.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Gordon Wolcott 27.9% 24.9% 17.0% 13.9% 9.3% 4.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Keally 9.3% 11.2% 12.7% 14.9% 14.2% 14.0% 12.1% 7.4% 3.4% 0.8%
Arthur Bailey IV 10.5% 9.9% 12.6% 13.3% 16.0% 14.5% 12.2% 6.7% 3.4% 0.9%
Nick Balta 5.3% 4.7% 4.4% 8.0% 7.7% 13.0% 17.5% 18.1% 14.6% 6.7%
Scott Lubliner 6.5% 8.5% 11.3% 12.9% 14.2% 15.9% 13.4% 11.7% 4.2% 1.4%
Harmen Rockler 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% 3.5% 5.2% 7.7% 12.7% 24.3% 39.1%
Clifton Kartner 2.7% 2.0% 3.6% 5.0% 4.4% 7.5% 13.3% 21.8% 23.2% 16.5%
Margaret McMullen 1.5% 1.5% 2.9% 2.2% 4.3% 5.2% 8.4% 14.3% 25.3% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.