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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+1.03vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.62+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23+0.33vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.77+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.36vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-0.72vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-1.61-1.20vs Predicted
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8McGill University-1.69-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Fairfield University0.690.5%1st Place
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4.05Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.2%1st Place
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4.32Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.36University of New Hampshire-1.360.1%1st Place
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5.28Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.1%1st Place
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5.8Sacred Heart University-1.610.0%1st Place
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5.84McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 45.2% | 26.9% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Cunniff | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 17.1% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Emilia Perriera | 9.1% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 5.5% |
| Devyn Weed | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 16.7% |
| Samuel Honor | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 18.4% |
| Emma Giedraitis | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 27.4% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.