← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fairfield University-0.62+2.96vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University-0.77+2.30vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University0.69-0.92vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.23-0.63vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-1.36+0.37vs Predicted
-
6Sacred Heart University-1.61-0.24vs Predicted
-
7McGill University-1.69-1.07vs Predicted
-
8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
-
4.3Salve Regina University-0.770.1%1st Place
-
2.08Fairfield University0.690.4%1st Place
-
3.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.230.2%1st Place
-
5.37University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
-
5.76Sacred Heart University-1.610.0%1st Place
-
5.93McGill University-1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.23Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cunniff | 10.9% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Emilia Perriera | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 5.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 42.9% | 27.6% | 16.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 17.2% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 15.4% |
| Emma Giedraitis | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 27.0% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 30.8% |
| Samuel Honor | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.