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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.21+2.30vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.15-0.22vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.57-0.66vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.77+1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08-0.48vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-1.66-2.06vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-3.23-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Fairfield University0.820.5%1st Place
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4.3University of New Hampshire-1.210.1%1st Place
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2.78McGill University-0.150.2%1st Place
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3.34Fairfield University-0.570.1%1st Place
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6.46Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.770.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.94Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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6.93Sacred Heart University-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 53.7% | 27.4% | 13.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Peterson | 6.3% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 21.5% | 16.1% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Richards | 19.8% | 27.2% | 24.5% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Cronin | 12.0% | 19.5% | 24.2% | 21.3% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Owen Miller | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 30.0% | 30.9% |
| Maisey Jobson | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 24.0% | 21.0% | 11.6% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 3.9% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 22.2% | 14.6% | 5.0% |
| Conor Grew | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 24.4% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.