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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+0.73vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.57+1.37vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.15-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.21+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08+0.53vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-1.66-1.10vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-3.230.00vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.77-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Fairfield University0.820.5%1st Place
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3.37Fairfield University-0.570.1%1st Place
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2.79McGill University-0.150.2%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire-1.210.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.9Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.0Sacred Heart University-3.230.0%1st Place
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6.39Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 53.5% | 27.6% | 13.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 12.0% | 19.7% | 23.4% | 21.1% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Richards | 19.2% | 27.0% | 26.3% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ian Peterson | 6.2% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 21.9% | 22.0% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 1.5% |
| Maisey Jobson | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 18.1% | 25.6% | 21.7% | 10.4% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 4.8% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 13.7% | 5.7% |
| Conor Grew | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 21.5% | 55.1% |
| Owen Miller | 0.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 19.4% | 31.4% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.