Race 11A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arthur Bailey IV 7.8% 10.9% 10.6% 14.0% 12.8% 15.8% 12.4% 9.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Arielle DeLisser 17.1% 15.8% 15.5% 14.1% 13.6% 10.0% 8.0% 4.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Tyler Steel 16.3% 16.8% 17.8% 14.4% 12.9% 10.8% 6.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 27.8% 21.8% 18.8% 13.5% 9.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 2.4% 3.4% 3.1% 4.0% 5.4% 6.3% 9.1% 16.6% 14.8% 19.1% 15.8%
Scott Lubliner 7.7% 10.7% 8.6% 10.5% 13.6% 14.1% 11.8% 9.9% 8.1% 4.3% 0.7%
Adam Keally 11.7% 11.1% 13.4% 13.7% 12.3% 12.9% 10.0% 7.0% 5.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Margaret McMullen 1.8% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 5.2% 7.1% 11.5% 17.3% 20.4% 27.8%
Nick Balta 3.9% 4.5% 5.7% 6.5% 9.1% 8.7% 16.3% 15.5% 14.0% 10.1% 5.7%
Josh Sharaf 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 4.2% 4.2% 8.2% 9.2% 12.2% 17.1% 20.5% 17.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 2.7% 3.8% 3.4% 7.0% 9.0% 15.9% 21.9% 32.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.