← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.39vs Predicted
-
2Grand Valley State University-0.85+4.94vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University0.48+0.91vs Predicted
-
4Indiana University0.29+1.04vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University0.65-1.52vs Predicted
-
6Northern Michigan University-1.46+2.90vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-1.85+2.62vs Predicted
-
8Hope College-0.14-2.59vs Predicted
-
9Purdue University-0.57-2.59vs Predicted
-
10Saint Mary's College-2.41+0.88vs Predicted
-
11University of Michigan-1.71-1.66vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan-1.14-4.14vs Predicted
-
13University of Iowa-2.51-1.84vs Predicted
-
14Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.39Michigan Technological University0.9621.9%1st Place
-
6.94Grand Valley State University-0.855.2%1st Place
-
3.91Michigan State University0.4817.9%1st Place
-
5.04Indiana University0.299.9%1st Place
-
3.48Ohio State University0.6520.1%1st Place
-
8.9Northern Michigan University-1.462.3%1st Place
-
9.62Western Michigan University-1.851.5%1st Place
-
5.41Hope College-0.147.8%1st Place
-
6.41Purdue University-0.576.2%1st Place
-
10.88Saint Mary's College-2.410.9%1st Place
-
9.34University of Michigan-1.711.9%1st Place
-
7.86University of Michigan-1.143.1%1st Place
-
11.16University of Iowa-2.510.9%1st Place
-
12.68Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 21.9% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Monika Torkos | 17.9% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 20.1% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| William O'Haver | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 4.6% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 15.3% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 3.4% |
| River Servia | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 18.2% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.