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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+0.72vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.21+2.29vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.15-0.21vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.57-0.66vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.77+1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.08-0.48vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-3.23-0.04vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-1.66-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Fairfield University0.820.5%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire-1.210.1%1st Place
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2.79McGill University-0.150.2%1st Place
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3.34Fairfield University-0.570.1%1st Place
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6.47Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.770.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.080.0%1st Place
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6.96Sacred Heart University-3.230.0%1st Place
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4.9Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 53.7% | 27.8% | 12.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Peterson | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Richards | 19.5% | 27.0% | 25.0% | 17.0% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Cronin | 12.4% | 19.0% | 23.6% | 22.5% | 14.0% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Owen Miller | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 31.3% | 30.0% |
| Maisey Jobson | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 23.5% | 22.1% | 10.8% |
| Conor Grew | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 21.8% | 53.3% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 3.0% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 23.2% | 22.2% | 13.2% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.