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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.15+2.04vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.82-0.05vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.57+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.21+0.66vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-1.66+0.34vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-3.23+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-3.51vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.77-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04McGill University-0.150.2%1st Place
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1.95Fairfield University0.820.5%1st Place
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3.69Fairfield University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.66University of New Hampshire-1.210.1%1st Place
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5.34Salve Regina University-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.16Sacred Heart University-3.230.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.67Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Richards | 18.6% | 23.3% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 45.5% | 28.1% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 11.6% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 11.1% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Ian Peterson | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 22.5% | 21.8% | 11.5% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Blackmer | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 27.8% | 20.6% | 6.7% |
| Conor Grew | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 56.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 13.7% | 16.8% | 21.1% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Owen Miller | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 14.4% | 37.1% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.