Race 1A

bowdoin-mid-week-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Shea McGrath 8.9% 10.6% 11.9% 12.1% 13.1% 12.0% 12.3% 10.6% 6.7% 1.7% 0.1%
Sophie Brett 16.3% 16.1% 15.2% 12.9% 11.4% 9.7% 9.3% 6.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Cole Amaral 16.0% 16.6% 15.0% 13.7% 11.8% 10.8% 8.6% 4.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Riley Donahue 15.2% 13.9% 12.7% 15.1% 12.2% 12.2% 7.2% 7.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Henri Richardsson 15.8% 14.3% 14.2% 12.8% 12.5% 10.9% 8.3% 6.7% 3.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Diaz 6.4% 7.8% 8.9% 7.8% 10.3% 10.3% 13.0% 14.3% 14.4% 6.1% 0.7%
Colby Green 5.4% 4.2% 3.8% 6.5% 7.1% 8.8% 9.6% 15.0% 22.0% 15.1% 2.5%
Colin Kenny 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 13.0% 43.2% 26.9%
Kique Ruiz 6.8% 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 9.2% 10.1% 14.8% 14.7% 13.4% 5.9% 1.5%
Isaac Thompson 7.7% 8.3% 8.6% 8.7% 10.0% 12.1% 11.7% 12.4% 14.6% 5.2% 0.7%
Ryan Wiliani 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 3.1% 4.4% 20.3% 67.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.