Race 2A

bowdoin-mid-week-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Henri Richardsson 13.1% 14.4% 14.5% 12.9% 13.9% 11.6% 10.3% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Kique Ruiz 6.8% 6.0% 9.5% 7.9% 10.1% 10.9% 13.4% 14.1% 14.9% 5.9% 0.5%
Shea McGrath 11.1% 8.8% 9.9% 12.5% 12.8% 12.0% 12.1% 10.9% 7.2% 2.7% 0.0%
Sophie Brett 15.1% 13.9% 13.8% 14.8% 12.8% 11.5% 8.0% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Matthew Diaz 7.4% 7.8% 7.6% 8.3% 9.3% 10.3% 13.3% 14.3% 15.1% 5.9% 0.7%
Colby Green 3.1% 3.7% 6.2% 5.2% 6.6% 7.8% 9.8% 15.1% 23.9% 15.3% 3.3%
Colin Kenny 0.7% 1.8% 2.5% 2.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 5.7% 11.7% 45.4% 23.9%
Riley Donahue 15.7% 17.6% 13.7% 13.8% 11.2% 10.1% 8.0% 6.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Ryan Wiliani 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 2.0% 1.8% 4.0% 17.8% 70.6%
Cole Amaral 19.0% 18.1% 12.8% 12.8% 11.9% 10.0% 7.6% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Isaac Thompson 7.6% 7.3% 9.1% 9.0% 9.2% 12.6% 13.0% 14.2% 13.1% 4.3% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.