Race 3A

bowdoin-mid-week-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sophie Brett 13.6% 16.0% 14.3% 12.0% 14.8% 11.4% 10.2% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Shea McGrath 10.8% 10.5% 11.2% 12.3% 12.9% 12.7% 11.8% 10.0% 5.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Colby Green 3.8% 3.8% 5.1% 4.7% 5.8% 7.6% 10.3% 14.5% 26.0% 15.6% 2.8%
Kique Ruiz 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 9.6% 9.5% 11.5% 13.6% 15.8% 14.8% 5.6% 0.8%
Cole Amaral 18.0% 16.4% 15.8% 12.8% 10.8% 9.3% 8.0% 5.2% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Henri Richardsson 13.8% 15.2% 14.9% 15.0% 11.1% 10.0% 8.7% 6.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Riley Donahue 17.4% 16.7% 13.2% 13.3% 12.7% 10.3% 7.3% 5.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Matthew Diaz 7.7% 6.5% 8.2% 9.3% 10.6% 11.6% 12.5% 16.8% 11.4% 4.8% 0.6%
Colin Kenny 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 5.7% 10.1% 44.9% 27.0%
Isaac Thompson 7.2% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 9.3% 12.0% 13.2% 13.8% 13.7% 4.8% 0.7%
Ryan Wiliani 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 5.7% 19.4% 68.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.