Race 4A

bowdoin-mid-week-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cole Amaral 16.2% 16.4% 15.1% 14.3% 12.9% 11.6% 7.7% 3.2% 2.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Shea McGrath 10.4% 11.6% 11.9% 11.9% 12.2% 12.5% 11.1% 10.7% 5.4% 2.3% 0.0%
Sophie Brett 15.0% 13.4% 15.9% 13.6% 11.4% 12.4% 8.0% 7.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Isaac Thompson 6.6% 6.2% 7.3% 8.3% 9.0% 10.5% 14.9% 16.4% 13.9% 6.1% 0.8%
Henri Richardsson 15.7% 14.8% 13.0% 13.3% 13.3% 8.7% 8.8% 7.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.0%
Matthew Diaz 5.8% 8.7% 7.4% 7.7% 11.3% 9.7% 13.9% 14.4% 14.5% 5.9% 0.7%
Riley Donahue 17.2% 16.9% 14.6% 12.9% 11.8% 11.0% 7.3% 3.8% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Kique Ruiz 7.9% 6.6% 8.8% 9.9% 9.0% 13.4% 11.1% 13.4% 14.3% 5.2% 0.4%
Colby Green 3.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.3% 7.4% 6.0% 11.2% 16.2% 23.7% 13.1% 4.4%
Colin Kenny 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 2.2% 1.6% 2.8% 3.7% 5.4% 10.7% 45.4% 25.4%
Ryan Wiliani 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 1.4% 2.3% 2.1% 4.9% 19.3% 68.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.