Race 5A

bowdoin-mid-week-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Henri Richardsson 13.4% 14.4% 14.5% 12.7% 14.2% 11.1% 10.8% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Colby Green 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 7.2% 6.3% 8.0% 10.3% 13.8% 25.8% 14.1% 2.8%
Cole Amaral 16.0% 16.3% 15.8% 13.8% 11.5% 11.0% 8.0% 4.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Isaac Thompson 6.1% 6.2% 8.6% 6.8% 9.2% 12.0% 14.4% 16.2% 14.1% 5.1% 1.3%
Riley Donahue 17.2% 14.2% 13.9% 12.8% 12.6% 9.9% 9.2% 5.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Sophie Brett 16.0% 16.9% 12.9% 12.4% 13.3% 9.6% 8.7% 5.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Colin Kenny 1.3% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 1.7% 1.2% 3.1% 5.8% 11.2% 45.3% 24.7%
Shea McGrath 11.6% 11.7% 11.6% 14.4% 11.1% 10.3% 9.9% 10.9% 6.6% 1.7% 0.2%
Matthew Diaz 6.8% 7.4% 7.4% 8.1% 9.1% 12.1% 12.7% 16.0% 13.1% 6.3% 1.0%
Ryan Wiliani 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 5.2% 18.9% 69.0%
Kique Ruiz 7.3% 7.7% 8.9% 8.8% 10.2% 13.7% 11.3% 13.9% 11.9% 5.5% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.