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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.23vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.37vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.90+0.16vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College2.88-0.80vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University1.95-0.41vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.52-0.90vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.21-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Pennsylvania3.630.4%1st Place
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3.37Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.1%1st Place
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3.16Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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3.2Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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4.59Rutgers University1.950.1%1st Place
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5.1Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.35Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halsey Richartz | 39.4% | 25.5% | 16.6% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 14.6% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Allison Tracy | 16.0% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 18.5% | 17.7% | 21.9% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Cassie Botti | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 24.6% | 25.8% | 9.4% |
| Andrew Bergan | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 36.0% | 16.8% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 14.6% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.