Race 12A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arthur Bailey IV 7.9% 10.9% 10.5% 13.4% 14.1% 15.0% 12.0% 9.3% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Tyler Steel 19.1% 16.6% 17.6% 15.1% 11.8% 9.4% 5.0% 4.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Adam Keally 8.8% 10.4% 11.0% 12.4% 13.0% 15.0% 12.2% 8.6% 6.0% 2.3% 0.3%
Arielle DeLisser 15.3% 13.2% 16.8% 15.8% 14.1% 9.9% 7.1% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Margaret McMullen 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 2.3% 3.1% 5.2% 6.5% 10.3% 13.8% 23.3% 28.9%
Gordon Wolcott 29.3% 24.6% 16.1% 12.1% 8.2% 4.9% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Harmen Rockler 1.5% 2.3% 3.0% 2.1% 2.5% 3.0% 7.3% 10.2% 14.2% 20.0% 33.9%
Clifton Kartner 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 4.4% 6.3% 7.1% 10.3% 13.5% 18.5% 16.6% 15.1%
Scott Lubliner 7.5% 10.1% 9.0% 11.1% 12.8% 14.0% 14.4% 8.9% 7.2% 3.8% 1.2%
Nick Balta 4.2% 5.6% 6.1% 7.7% 8.4% 9.5% 13.1% 15.0% 16.2% 10.1% 4.1%
Josh Sharaf 1.9% 1.7% 4.2% 3.6% 5.7% 7.0% 9.5% 13.6% 16.2% 20.7% 15.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.