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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.27vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.29+2.63vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.65+0.37vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.57+1.99vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.48-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.14+1.45vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.71-0.49vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.42vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.71-1.20vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-2.51-1.52vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Michigan Technological University0.9621.8%1st Place
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4.63Indiana University0.2912.6%1st Place
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3.37Ohio State University0.6522.2%1st Place
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5.99Purdue University-0.575.8%1st Place
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3.69Michigan State University0.4817.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Michigan-1.143.5%1st Place
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6.51Hope College-0.714.6%1st Place
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6.58Grand Valley State University-0.855.7%1st Place
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8.22Northern Michigan University-1.462.8%1st Place
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8.8University of Michigan-1.711.6%1st Place
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10.17Saint Mary's College-2.411.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Iowa-2.511.2%1st Place
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11.86Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 21.8% | 19.9% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 22.2% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Monika Torkos | 17.1% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Jack Bergman | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Carly Irwin | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 3.5% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 20.9% | 25.1% | 14.6% |
| Maggie Lennon | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 28.6% | 17.9% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.