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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-2.97+2.65vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-1.91+0.59vs Predicted
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3Miami University-2.64+0.33vs Predicted
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4Miami University-0.34-2.66vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-3.41-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Ohio State University-2.970.1%1st Place
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2.59Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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3.33Miami University-2.640.1%1st Place
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1.34Miami University-0.340.7%1st Place
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4.1Hillsdale College-3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Leidheiser | 5.3% | 12.8% | 23.9% | 28.1% | 29.9% |
| Michael Mignogna | 13.2% | 38.5% | 28.4% | 15.9% | 4.0% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 6.6% | 18.3% | 27.7% | 30.7% | 16.7% |
| Reed Porter | 72.5% | 21.8% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Finn Rowan | 2.4% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 24.6% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.