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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.34+0.37vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-3.41+2.09vs Predicted
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3Miami University-2.64+0.32vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-2.97-0.35vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.91-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37Miami University-0.340.7%1st Place
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4.09Hillsdale College-3.410.0%1st Place
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3.32Miami University-2.640.1%1st Place
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3.65Ohio State University-2.970.0%1st Place
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2.57Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 71.8% | 20.6% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Finn Rowan | 3.0% | 7.0% | 16.5% | 24.6% | 48.9% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 6.8% | 19.7% | 27.1% | 27.6% | 18.8% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 3.8% | 14.6% | 23.0% | 30.5% | 28.1% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.6% | 38.1% | 27.0% | 16.3% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.