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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-0.34+0.38vs Predicted
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2Miami University-2.64+1.33vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-3.41+1.08vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.91-1.41vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.97-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38Miami University-0.340.7%1st Place
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3.33Miami University-2.640.1%1st Place
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4.08Hillsdale College-3.410.0%1st Place
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2.59Ohio State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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3.62Ohio State University-2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 70.9% | 21.6% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 6.3% | 16.7% | 31.4% | 28.8% | 16.8% |
| Finn Rowan | 3.6% | 7.8% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 50.7% |
| Michael Mignogna | 13.0% | 40.6% | 25.3% | 16.2% | 4.9% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 6.2% | 13.3% | 20.6% | 32.5% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.