Race 13A

maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Steel 15.8% 17.5% 18.2% 14.8% 13.5% 10.8% 5.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 9.9% 11.5% 11.4% 12.8% 13.8% 12.5% 11.0% 9.3% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3%
Scott Lubliner 7.4% 7.9% 10.5% 9.3% 12.4% 14.8% 13.9% 12.8% 7.0% 3.4% 0.6%
Arielle DeLisser 14.7% 14.5% 14.6% 17.4% 13.9% 11.2% 7.7% 3.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.3%
Harmen Rockler 1.8% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 4.1% 5.6% 10.4% 13.0% 21.7% 34.7%
Clifton Kartner 2.3% 2.5% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 6.4% 10.6% 11.9% 19.4% 18.7% 14.7%
Gordon Wolcott 31.3% 23.8% 17.3% 12.1% 7.4% 3.8% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Sharaf 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 4.9% 6.6% 10.9% 14.3% 16.3% 17.2% 18.9%
Nick Balta 3.5% 5.2% 5.2% 6.3% 8.2% 10.9% 14.3% 15.6% 14.0% 11.6% 5.2%
Adam Keally 10.0% 11.5% 12.3% 14.3% 13.2% 12.9% 11.0% 7.9% 4.7% 2.0% 0.2%
Margaret McMullen 1.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 4.5% 6.0% 6.8% 10.5% 16.4% 23.2% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.