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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.21vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.65+1.37vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.71+3.40vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.29+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.14+2.60vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.48-2.34vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.85-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.71+0.72vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.78vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.47+1.87vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-2.51-0.67vs Predicted
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12Saint Mary's College-2.41-1.71vs Predicted
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13Purdue University-0.57-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Michigan Technological University0.9623.1%1st Place
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3.37Ohio State University0.6521.1%1st Place
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6.4Hope College-0.715.2%1st Place
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4.75Indiana University0.2910.2%1st Place
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7.6University of Michigan-1.142.9%1st Place
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3.66Michigan State University0.4818.8%1st Place
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6.55Grand Valley State University-0.855.3%1st Place
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8.72University of Michigan-1.712.6%1st Place
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8.22Northern Michigan University-1.462.3%1st Place
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11.87Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.2%1st Place
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10.33University of Iowa-2.510.8%1st Place
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10.29Saint Mary's College-2.410.9%1st Place
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6.05Purdue University-0.576.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 23.1% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 21.1% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bergman | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Monika Torkos | 18.8% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Beute | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 3.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 60.0% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 26.6% | 17.8% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 26.0% | 15.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.