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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+2.18vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+2.43vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.63+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.14+2.36vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.79+0.08vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.64-0.52vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65-3.52vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.32-0.78vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.28-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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3.57Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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5.08Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.48Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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3.48Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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7.22Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.19North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 24.0% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Marina Conde | 18.5% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 20.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 10.0% |
| Emily Allen | 18.9% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 20.6% | 41.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.