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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.63+2.52vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+1.28vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.64+1.38vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65-1.56vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.14+0.41vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.28-0.77vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.32-0.77vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.79-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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3.33College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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4.28University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.38Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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3.44Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.41University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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6.23North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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7.23Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.17Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Conde | 18.7% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 19.3% | 21.0% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.1% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.2% |
| Emily Allen | 22.3% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 20.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 17.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 42.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.