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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+2.44vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.83+0.18vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14+1.27vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.28+0.15vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.32+0.28vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-2.81vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.64-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.44University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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3.18College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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3.48Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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6.27University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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6.15North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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7.28Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.19Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.48Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 19.3% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 23.4% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Marina Conde | 20.1% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 20.9% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 16.4% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 42.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 7.3% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.