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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.29vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.48+1.85vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.14+2.39vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.57+2.14vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.29-0.20vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.65-2.58vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.85-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.14-0.44vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.71-0.21vs Predicted
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10Saint Mary's College-2.41+0.26vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-1.46-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-2.51-1.55vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Michigan Technological University0.9623.6%1st Place
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3.85Michigan State University0.4817.3%1st Place
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5.39Hope College-0.148.4%1st Place
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6.14Purdue University-0.576.2%1st Place
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4.8Indiana University0.2910.4%1st Place
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3.42Ohio State University0.6521.5%1st Place
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6.69Grand Valley State University-0.854.2%1st Place
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7.56University of Michigan-1.143.6%1st Place
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8.79University of Michigan-1.711.1%1st Place
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10.26Saint Mary's College-2.410.8%1st Place
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8.4Northern Michigan University-1.461.9%1st Place
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10.45University of Iowa-2.510.7%1st Place
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11.94Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 23.6% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Monika Torkos | 17.3% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Holmes | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 21.5% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| River Servia | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 26.2% | 14.6% |
| Lawrence Busse | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 26.9% | 19.1% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 18.4% | 59.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.