Race 14A

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tyler Steel 15.5% 17.7% 17.0% 15.5% 14.5% 9.3% 7.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Gordon Wolcott 30.8% 22.0% 17.4% 12.6% 9.7% 4.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Keally 9.2% 9.8% 10.4% 12.3% 13.8% 13.9% 13.9% 8.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Harmen Rockler 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.0% 5.5% 8.8% 14.3% 22.4% 36.3%
Nick Balta 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 6.7% 8.1% 11.7% 13.2% 16.0% 15.0% 10.6% 4.5%
Josh Sharaf 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 4.6% 5.2% 5.3% 10.5% 13.3% 16.6% 20.0% 18.2%
Scott Lubliner 9.0% 9.4% 10.9% 11.2% 12.7% 14.7% 13.6% 9.1% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8%
Arielle DeLisser 16.1% 17.2% 17.2% 13.9% 12.6% 10.0% 6.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 9.2% 10.3% 12.3% 13.2% 12.0% 13.9% 11.4% 9.4% 5.0% 2.9% 0.4%
Clifton Kartner 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 4.5% 4.9% 8.5% 9.0% 14.7% 19.4% 18.1% 12.3%
Margaret McMullen 1.2% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 3.4% 5.6% 6.8% 12.8% 15.8% 20.3% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.