Race 4A

cofc-women-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Emily Allen 19.8% 18.6% 15.0% 15.7% 12.5% 9.6% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6%
Bella Shakespeare 18.9% 21.7% 19.1% 13.9% 11.5% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 1.0%
Marina Conde 19.8% 17.1% 16.1% 15.2% 12.3% 10.4% 5.5% 3.2% 0.4%
Shay Bridge 6.9% 7.6% 10.0% 10.4% 13.9% 14.5% 13.3% 13.5% 9.9%
Emma Shakespeare 13.5% 15.9% 15.1% 12.4% 12.9% 11.2% 10.0% 6.4% 2.6%
Arantxa Argibay 4.2% 4.2% 6.1% 6.6% 8.7% 11.8% 17.1% 21.4% 19.9%
Lyla Solway 5.3% 4.0% 5.6% 8.9% 9.3% 12.8% 15.7% 21.6% 16.8%
Tia Schoening 3.3% 2.8% 3.3% 3.8% 6.1% 8.5% 12.1% 18.0% 42.1%
Grace Watlington 8.3% 8.1% 9.7% 13.1% 12.8% 13.4% 15.9% 12.0% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.