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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+2.50vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.63+1.67vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.64+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+0.16vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.83-1.87vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79-0.88vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.28-0.78vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.32-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.14-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.67Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.55Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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4.16University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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3.13College of Charleston1.830.3%1st Place
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5.12Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.22North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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7.23Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.42University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 19.4% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Marina Conde | 15.0% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 9.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 13.6% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 25.7% | 22.1% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 6.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 19.9% | 17.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 41.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 21.6% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.