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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+2.54vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+1.29vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.79+1.11vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.28+1.03vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.63-2.54vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.14-0.51vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.64-2.51vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.32-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.36College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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4.29University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.11Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.03North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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3.46Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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6.49University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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5.49Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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7.23Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 19.6% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 19.1% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| Marina Conde | 19.7% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 23.0% | 20.8% |
| Shay Bridge | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 10.0% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.