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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+2.45vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+0.50vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.64+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14+1.26vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.28+0.19vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.63-3.45vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-2.79vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-0.32-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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4.45University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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3.5Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.39Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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6.19North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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3.55Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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5.21Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.24Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 22.8% | 22.0% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Emily Allen | 19.5% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 9.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 20.9% | 20.6% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 16.5% |
| Marina Conde | 18.0% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.