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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.24+3.26vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.63+1.67vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.83+0.19vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.64+1.41vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.65-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.14+0.39vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.79vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.32-0.78vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.28-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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3.67Old Dominion University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.19College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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5.41Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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3.45Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.39University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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5.21Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.22Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.2North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Marina Conde | 14.9% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 23.7% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.1% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% |
| Emily Allen | 21.6% | 20.3% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 22.8% | 19.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 6.5% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 41.4% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 20.4% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.