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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+4.18vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.83+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+1.28vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.64+1.43vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.28+1.06vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-0.32+1.22vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65-3.48vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.14-1.56vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.63-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.37College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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4.28University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.43Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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6.06North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.22Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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3.52Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.44University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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3.5Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 6.6% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 19.6% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 17.6% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 40.2% |
| Emily Allen | 18.8% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 21.8% |
| Marina Conde | 21.2% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.