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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University-0.32+6.20vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+1.33vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.83-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14+1.28vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65-2.54vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.63-3.45vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.64-2.52vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.28-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.4Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.33University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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3.11College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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6.28University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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3.46Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.55Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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5.48Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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6.18North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tia Schoening | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 21.8% | 38.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 8.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.1% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 22.8% | 23.2% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 21.6% |
| Emily Allen | 19.7% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Marina Conde | 18.9% | 17.7% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 8.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.