Race 11A

cofc-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Grace Watlington 7.7% 9.6% 10.4% 9.7% 13.3% 14.7% 16.2% 11.4% 7.0%
Marina Conde 15.6% 18.1% 15.2% 16.9% 13.1% 10.6% 5.8% 3.5% 1.2%
Shay Bridge 6.5% 6.9% 9.0% 11.0% 11.8% 15.1% 13.7% 16.5% 9.5%
Bella Shakespeare 24.9% 20.6% 18.5% 13.4% 10.3% 5.6% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Arantxa Argibay 4.3% 5.7% 6.5% 7.9% 9.7% 10.8% 14.9% 19.3% 20.9%
Emily Allen 20.1% 17.3% 18.3% 15.8% 11.5% 8.8% 4.9% 2.8% 0.5%
Lyla Solway 5.4% 3.4% 5.9% 7.9% 10.2% 11.5% 17.4% 21.1% 17.2%
Tia Schoening 2.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.1% 5.5% 8.9% 11.9% 18.6% 41.2%
Emma Shakespeare 12.7% 15.2% 12.4% 13.3% 14.6% 14.0% 10.3% 5.3% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.