← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.83+2.21vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University1.63+1.71vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.79+2.23vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University1.65-0.58vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.64+0.34vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University0.28+0.15vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami0.14-0.51vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University-0.32-0.78vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.24-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
-
3.71Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
-
5.23Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
-
3.42Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
-
5.34Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
-
6.15North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
-
6.49University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
-
7.22Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
-
4.23University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 23.3% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Marina Conde | 16.1% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.2% |
| Emily Allen | 19.6% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 9.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 16.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 22.2% | 21.7% |
| Tia Schoening | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 41.2% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.