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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+2.20vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+1.65vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79+2.24vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.63-0.54vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-0.32+2.07vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.64-0.55vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University0.28-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.14-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.24-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2College of Charleston1.830.2%1st Place
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3.65Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.24Christopher Newport University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.46Old Dominion University1.630.2%1st Place
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7.07Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.45Rollins College0.640.1%1st Place
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6.22North Carolina State University0.280.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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4.25University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 23.5% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 16.0% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 7.5% |
| Marina Conde | 19.5% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Tia Schoening | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 39.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 8.3% |
| Lyla Solway | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 17.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 20.8% | 23.7% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.