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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.96+2.33vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.65+1.49vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.57+3.16vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.14+1.44vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.48-1.24vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.70vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.29-2.24vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.46+0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.71-0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.14-2.52vs Predicted
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11Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.78vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-2.51-1.39vs Predicted
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13Saginaw Valley State University-3.47-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Michigan Technological University0.9621.8%1st Place
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3.49Ohio State University0.6521.1%1st Place
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6.16Purdue University-0.575.9%1st Place
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5.44Hope College-0.148.0%1st Place
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3.76Michigan State University0.4818.2%1st Place
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6.7Grand Valley State University-0.854.9%1st Place
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4.76Indiana University0.2911.6%1st Place
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8.38Northern Michigan University-1.462.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Michigan-1.711.6%1st Place
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7.48University of Michigan-1.143.4%1st Place
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10.22Saint Mary's College-2.410.9%1st Place
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10.61University of Iowa-2.510.5%1st Place
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11.83Saginaw Valley State University-3.470.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 21.8% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Shaw | 21.1% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Holmes | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Falkner | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Monika Torkos | 18.2% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Daniel de la Vega III | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lawrence Busse | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 4.2% |
| River Servia | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 19.0% | 26.2% | 14.8% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 26.9% | 20.5% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.