Race 1B

maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christopher Stessing 20.1% 17.1% 16.4% 14.5% 9.5% 9.8% 4.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Lance Fraser 7.1% 9.5% 8.9% 11.7% 10.1% 10.2% 11.4% 12.8% 9.8% 6.4% 1.8% 0.3%
Charles Peck 13.5% 11.0% 12.3% 11.3% 13.2% 11.2% 10.9% 8.5% 4.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Rudy Normann 4.0% 4.2% 5.6% 7.5% 7.5% 10.7% 11.8% 12.2% 14.3% 12.9% 8.3% 1.0%
Julia Paxton 13.0% 14.3% 14.1% 13.0% 10.8% 10.4% 9.4% 8.3% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 15.6% 16.7% 14.5% 12.1% 12.6% 11.0% 6.6% 6.0% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Matthew Winter 3.3% 3.9% 3.0% 4.2% 6.5% 4.8% 10.1% 9.5% 13.6% 19.8% 16.6% 4.7%
Liana Folger 14.8% 12.9% 11.6% 12.7% 10.5% 10.3% 10.3% 7.9% 4.8% 2.7% 1.5% 0.0%
Connor McGowan 4.0% 4.3% 7.2% 5.8% 9.0% 11.1% 10.6% 11.7% 15.2% 13.0% 7.4% 0.7%
Nicholas Woviotis 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.3% 3.5% 6.2% 10.7% 17.5% 37.8% 9.9%
Mary Margaret Meehan 3.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.7% 6.8% 6.4% 10.1% 11.1% 15.8% 17.3% 14.9% 2.4%
Sara Winkelman 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 1.3% 2.4% 3.1% 9.5% 81.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.