Race 14A

cofc-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Shay Bridge 6.5% 7.7% 8.8% 10.0% 11.9% 15.5% 15.1% 14.3% 10.2%
Bella Shakespeare 18.3% 21.0% 17.8% 17.3% 11.5% 7.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Lyla Solway 4.6% 4.8% 7.2% 7.7% 9.1% 13.6% 15.1% 19.7% 18.2%
Emily Allen 19.5% 19.6% 18.6% 14.6% 10.6% 8.1% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6%
Marina Conde 21.6% 18.2% 15.6% 14.3% 11.1% 8.9% 6.3% 2.8% 1.2%
Tia Schoening 2.8% 3.3% 2.9% 4.8% 6.6% 7.1% 11.9% 23.3% 37.3%
Grace Watlington 7.9% 7.5% 10.4% 11.5% 14.0% 15.5% 15.1% 10.9% 7.2%
Emma Shakespeare 14.1% 13.2% 13.5% 13.6% 15.4% 12.7% 9.3% 6.1% 2.1%
Arantxa Argibay 4.7% 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% 9.8% 11.1% 17.1% 18.6% 22.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.